Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = ME Polar Bear Coach = Bill MasonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.0296783 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.2) 13- 6 306 H Western New England CCC (11- 7, 91.9) 19- 9 309 H Middlebury NESCAC (12- 8, 97.1) 16-10 313 A Endicott CCC (16- 2, 94.6) 14-17 316 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 90.7) 19-11 319 A MIT NEWMAC ( 6-10, 90.5) 22-14 326 A Babson NEWMAC (16- 4, 95.7) 6-13 330 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.5) 15- 8 402 A Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.0) 16-14 410 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 91.5) 25- 5 413 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.1) 14- 6 415 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.5) 19- 8 420 A Wesleyan NESCAC (15- 4, 97.2) 12-16 424 A Tufts NESCAC (15- 3, 99.2) 13-16 427 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.1) 14- 4 504 N Middlebury NESCAC (12- 8, 97.1) 9-17 511 A Grove City PAC (15- 5, 92.7) 23- 9 512 A RPI Liberty Leagu (17- 3, 97.3) 12- 5 518 N Middlebury NESCAC (12- 8, 97.1)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Trinity 13- 6 7 5 1.58 306 H Western New England 19- 9 10 6 0.23 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.47 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.65 316 A Connecticut College 19-11 8 6 0.48 319 A MIT 22-14 8 6 0.22 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.51 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.23 402 A Bates 16-14 2 7 -- -5.00 410 H Colby 25- 5 20 7 0.00 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 3 + 3.42 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 2 ++ 4.87 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.10 424 A Tufts 13-16 -3 -1 -1.05 427 H Williams 14- 4 10 3 + 3.42 504 N Middlebury 9-17 -8 0 --- -7.83 511 A Grove City 23- 9 14 4 + 2.42 512 A RPI 12- 5 7 0 +++ 7.08UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.51 504 N Middlebury 9-17 -8 0 --- -7.83 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.65 402 A Bates 16-14 2 7 -- -5.00 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A RPI 12- 5 7 0 +++ 7.08 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.47 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.23 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 2 ++ 4.87 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 3 + 3.42 427 H Williams 14- 4 10 3 + 3.42 511 A Grove City 23- 9 14 4 + 2.42
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.96 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 86.82 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7064 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 13 RPI Rating............... .6483 RPI Rank................... 11 Champ. Probability ...... 7.0 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 40 Selection Rank ............ 10 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 65. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 10 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 15. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 16 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3